Volume 45, No. 1
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Key words: egg cannibalism, El Niño, Glaucous-winged Gull, hatching success, ocean warming, sea surface temperature
The effect of sea surface temperature (SST), as a proxy for more general oceanic conditions, on seabird reproduction includes a time lag. In this short communication, we use model-selection techniques to determine the time of year SST should be measured in the Salish Sea in order to best explain the variability in reproductive success the following breeding season at a Glaucous-winged Gull Larus glaucescens colony on Protection Island, Washington State, US. Average SST values computed from September and October before the breeding season were the best predictors of egg cannibalism and hatching success.
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